Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004145 0.004359 0.004580 0.004824 0.005086 0.005359 0.005667
2025-08-31 0.003749 0.004064 0.004402 0.004792 0.005231 0.005713 0.006284
2025-09-07 0.003477 0.003844 0.004248 0.004729 0.005288 0.005923 0.006704
2025-09-14 0.003264 0.003664 0.004114 0.004662 0.005316 0.006080 0.007050
2025-09-21 0.003130 0.003561 0.004055 0.004669 0.005419 0.006318 0.007493
2025-09-28 0.002934 0.003372 0.003881 0.004524 0.005325 0.006303 0.007612
2025-10-05 0.002835 0.003291 0.003829 0.004521 0.005398 0.006493 0.007994
2025-10-12 0.002785 0.003266 0.003843 0.004595 0.005568 0.006809 0.008554
2025-10-19 0.002689 0.003179 0.003774 0.004560 0.005593 0.006934 0.008861
2025-10-26 0.002606 0.003105 0.003716 0.004534 0.005626 0.007069 0.009184
2025-11-02 0.002526 0.003031 0.003655 0.004502 0.005646 0.007183 0.009482
2025-11-09 0.002497 0.003019 0.003673 0.004572 0.005806 0.007494 0.010078
2025-11-16 0.002431 0.002959 0.003626 0.004553 0.005844 0.007639 0.010443
2025-11-23 0.002364 0.002895 0.003572 0.004522 0.005863 0.007756 0.010772
2025-11-30 0.002290 0.002819 0.003500 0.004464 0.005840 0.007809 0.011000
2025-12-07 0.002220 0.002746 0.003428 0.004402 0.005808 0.007845 0.011203
2025-12-14 0.002179 0.002711 0.003406 0.004409 0.005873 0.008029 0.011653
2025-12-21 0.002088 0.002607 0.003287 0.004275 0.005728 0.007885 0.011552
2025-12-28 0.002050 0.002572 0.003261 0.004272 0.005775 0.008038 0.011957
2026-01-04 0.002038 0.002573 0.003285 0.004341 0.005931 0.008368 0.012683
2026-01-11 0.001993 0.002526 0.003241 0.004308 0.005933 0.008451 0.012983
2026-01-18 0.001953 0.002485 0.003204 0.004285 0.005946 0.008552 0.013321
2026-01-25 0.001912 0.002442 0.003163 0.004255 0.005947 0.008633 0.013627